Wind Farms

Wind Farms

Photo by UNDP Serbia, Djordje Novakovic

Wind Farms

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Alternative Energy
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
< 5% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Long Term (10+ years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
> USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7) Climate Action (SDG 13) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Construct and operate wind farms to generate revenue by selling electricity through long-term Purchase Power Agreements, covering the expenses and potentially selling renewable energy credits. Distributors are obliged to purchase all the energy produced from renewable sources. Wind power plants require supplying equipment, transportation, risk mitigation and planning know-how, location with frequent and robust wind, energy license, use, and construction permit.

Expected Impact

Reduce harmful energy production emissions, increase energy security, and replaces fossil fuels.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Serbia: Vojvodina Autonomous Province
  • Serbia: Southern and Eastern Serbia
  • Serbia: Šumadija and Western Serbia
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy

Development need
In 2019, Serbia's average per capita carbon dioxide emissions was 6.6 (10), exceeding the global average of 4.78 metric tons in the same year (11). Serbia annually emits 58 to 62 million tons of carbon dioxide or its equivalent into the atmosphere. The largest emitters come from the energy sector, the electricity and thermal energy production industry (12).

Policy priority
The Republic of Serbia adopted the National Action Plan for Renewable Energy Services as a framework for promoting energy produced from renewable sources and set mandatory national goals for the share of energy from renewable sources in gross final energy consumption (27%). The achievement of that goal has been postponed to 2025 (9).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
In Serbia, the representation of women in sustainable energy, climate change, and environmental protection has improved. Still, their number decreases as one moves up the hierarchical ladder in public institutions and companies. However, Elektromreza Srbija (EMS) is an exception, with 56% of women at the highest management level (3).

Investment opportunities introduction
The Serbian government adopted a new regulation on market premium and feed-in tariffs for renewable energy sources in 2021 (13). The Ministry of Mining and Energy states that Investments in renewable energy services are critical to the development of energy (8).

Key bottlenecks introduction
The lack of a clear and stable regulatory framework and heavy reliance on coal are critical obstacles to renewable resources and alternative energy. However, the government has taken steps to address these challenges, such as adopting new regulations on market premiums and feed-in tariffs (7).

Sub Sector

Alternative Energy

Development need
Serbia relies heavily on thermal power plants for electricity production, with about 70% of its electricity coming from coal-fired plants. This is due to the obsolescence of the energy system, as most of the electricity production system was built in the last century when coal and large rivers were the primary sources of energy (1).

Policy priority
Increasing renewable energy production and use is among Serbia's priorities under the EU Green Deal (2). The agreement on cooperation between the Ministry of Mining and Energy and the association "Renewable Sources of Energy" established the new goal of Serbia to have at least 40% of the produced energy from renewable sources by 2040 (5).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
According to the Renewable Energy Services Foundation - Partnerships for Resilience, women make up only one-third of licensed energy managers in Serbia, which is only one in a series that reflects their uneven representation in energy compared to men (4).

Investment opportunities introduction
Serbia faces a significant challenge in the coming decade as it looks to replace the production of electricity from over 4,000 MW of thermal power plants. The country must build over 10,000 MW of solar, wind, or hydropower plants. The required investment for this transition is estimated to be 10 billion USD (1).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Financial institutions still consider renewable sources risky; therefore, investors face higher financial and capital costs, reflected in higher electricity prices. In addition, higher initial capital means greater sensitivity to the country's political, regulatory, and administrative conditions (6).

Industry

Wind Technology and Project Developers

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Wind Farms

Business Model

Construct and operate wind farms to generate revenue by selling electricity through long-term Purchase Power Agreements, covering the expenses and potentially selling renewable energy credits. Distributors are obliged to purchase all the energy produced from renewable sources. Wind power plants require supplying equipment, transportation, risk mitigation and planning know-how, location with frequent and robust wind, energy license, use, and construction permit.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Serbia's total wind energy potential is 1,300 MW.

From just one wind farm with a capacity of 150 MW, Serbia would have a profit of 250 million Euros (app. USD 280m) (21). If Serbia uses its full potential of 1,300 MW, the profit will amount to 2.2 billion euros or USD 2.6 billion (21).

In the period from 2016 to 2020, approximately 5 wind farms with a total capacity of 381.5 MW were built on the territory of the Republic of Serbia. That makes total energy potential of more than 900 MW, and potential market of more than USD 1 billion (18).

According to the report of the Energy Agency from May 2022, the production of wind power plants amounted to a record 1,004 GW in 2021. It accounted for 2.8% of the total electricity production in Serbia, but on the other hand, this data indicates that the potential of wind energy is still underutilized (19).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

< 5%

ROI
Describes an expected return from the IOA investment over its lifetime.

5% - 10%

Indicative return in projects of constructing wind power plants is less than 5% as an IRR. Following the payback period, the ROI of wind power investments is 5-10% based on stakeholder consultations (13).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Long Term (10+ years)

The payback period of investment in wind farms is 9-12 years based on stakeholder consultations (13).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

> USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Investment in wind farms is capital-intensive. For the wind park "Kula" with only 9,9 MW installed capacity, the investment value was more than USD 15 million (22).

Capital - CapEx Intensive

To build and operate wind farms, the law on energy and law on renewable sources must be followed. Permits require complying with Law on Environmental Protection and Environmental Impact Assessment, which can be demanding and time intensive (29, 35).

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

75% of Serbia's electricity comes from fossil fuels, constituting a significant challenge to tackle in the face of climate change. Renewable energy sources still include a small share of installed energy capacity in the country (14).

Serbia depends on imports for three quarters of its crude oil, with most coming from Iraq, Russia, and Kazakhstan. Despite increasing renewables, reducing fossil fuel dependence is crucial for a country with growing energy needs (33).

Gender & Marginalisation

Roma men and women often face discrimination in the area of electricity supply (17).

A study of 1,000 Serbian women working in sustainable energy, climate change, and environmental protection found gender inequality in decision making (38).

Expected Development Outcome

Investment in wind power plants enables reaching the climate goal of reducing the increase in the average global temperature by 1.5 °C by 2050 and reducing the use of fossil fuels by 75% (34). Serbia targets to have 40% of its energy mix generated by renewables by 2040 (30).

Investing in wind farms may help Serbia to diversify its energy sources and reduce its dependence on imported energy. Wind energy can significantly contribute to Serbia's energy mix (36).

Gender & Marginalisation

Incorporating domestic renewable energy, like wind power, can lead to cost savings and greater affordability for low-income families (13).

The green energy transition is an opportunity to affirm women as active participants in this process and to open this sector for female entrepreneurs, managers, and engineers (37).

Primary SDGs addressed

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption

7.b.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)

Current Value

32.88% (2021) (32).

N/A

Target Value

N/A

N/A

Climate Action (SDG 13)
13 - Climate Action

13.2.2 Total greenhouse gas emissions per year

Current Value

30.87 million t (2021) (32).

Target Value

N/A

Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

12.a.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)

Current Value

N/A

Target Value

N/A

Secondary SDGs addressed

Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Residential, commercial, and industrial users of wind energy.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Rural populations and households with limited electricity access through grid solution.

Planet

The environment benefits from reduced greenhouse gas emissions and lower primary reliance on fossil fuels.

Corporates

Wind inputs manufacturers, service delivery companies, renewable energy financiers, and financial institutions.

Public sector

Government institutions, local authorities, utility providers, grid operators, and energy agencies, thanks to reduced energy import dependency.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Employees in wind power plants, input manufacturers and service delivery companies, and the general public, thanks to the reduction of energy price fluctuations over time and employment generating effects from wind energy production.

Outcome Risks

Wind farms in areas with high bird concentrations (enormous birds and raptors with no natural predators) can lead to habitat fragmentation, noise, and visual pollution (29).

Wind farms can harm habitats if nature protection guidelines are not followed during construction (20).

Wind farms can harm habitats by disrupting hydrological regimes, changing groundwater levels, and causing habitat degradation through disturbances (20).

Impact Risks

Wind farms may have unexpected costs due to environmental impact and community conflict, so such expenses should be considered in the project planning phase (20).

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Wind power plants increase the share of renewable energy in the energy mix, reduce CO2 emissions, and reduce energy dependency on imported energy.

Who

Energy providers and energy consumers, manufacturers and energy services companies, the general public, and the planet benefit from clean energy from wind farms.

Risk

Energy production from wind power plants may result in unexpected risk due to environmental impact and community conflict.

Impact Thesis

Reduce harmful energy production emissions, increase energy security, and replaces fossil fuels.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

The Energy Development Strategy until 2025 with projections until 2030 (2016) defines the main priorities for the energy sector as electricity, heat, coal, oil, gas, renewable energy sources and energy efficiency (9).

The national action plan for the use of renewable energy sources of the Republic of Serbia (2013) determines the goals of use of renewable energy sources until 2020, as well as the way for reaching them. Among other things, it aims to encourage investment in areas of renewable energy sources.

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Serbia incentivizes wind power investment through feed-in tariffs (FITs), set by the Energy Agency, which offer fixed payments for renewable energy fed into the grid (15).

Financial incentives: The market premium is an operational state aid representing an addition to the market price of electricity delivered to the market by users of the premium and determined in Euro cents per kWh in the auction process. The market premium is calculated and paid monthly (41).

Fiscal incentives: Tax benefits are granted to investors who make special importance investments: improve competitiveness / regional development, invest USD 5.2 million / 500+ jobs (developed areas) or USD 2.1 million / 100+ jobs (less developed areas), support common priorities, or have bilateral agreements (16).

Other incentives: Serbia does not offer any significant incentives other than tax exemptions for wind power investments, but investors may benefit from general investment incentives like free trade agreements, foreign investment protection, and access to credit lines and guarantees.

Regulatory Environment

The Law on Energy ("Official Gazette of RS", no. 57/11 and 80/11), 2014 regulates energy policy objectives, energy supply conditions, customer protection, energy-related activities, renewable energy sources, market organization, and monitoring of implementation (43).

The Law on Energy regulates the sale of renewable energy, which can be sold through the electricity market. The state-owned company EPS buys electricity at regulated prices set by Energy Agency. Producers can also sell on the free market, but need an Energy Agency license (43, 44).

The Law on the Use of Renewable Energy Sources "Official Gazette of RS", No.40 of April 22, 2021 regulates the use of RES, sets targets for their use, determines the share of renewable energy services in Serbia's gross final energy consumption, and integrates renewable energy into the market (41).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Electrawinds K-Wind d.o.o, New Energy Solutions, Elicio Serbia, MK Fintel Wind, NIS.

Government

Ministry of Mining and Energy, Ministry of Agriculture and Environmental Protection, Agency for Regional Development and Local Self-Government, Energy Agency of the Republic of Serbia.

Multilaterals

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), International Finance Corporation (IFC), European Investment Bank (EIB), World Wind Energy Association (WWEA), European Wind Energy Association (EWEA), International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).

Non-Profit

Center for Ecology and Sustainable Development (CEKOR).

Public-Private Partnership

In the field of wind (and solar) energy in Serbia, PPPs are implemented through an auction system where private companies bid to provide electricity at the lowest price determined by the Energy Agency (42).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
semi-urban

Serbia: Vojvodina Autonomous Province

Wind energy in the Republic of Serbia can be used in the "Košava" wind area; in Southern Banat (9). The maximum wind power at 100m above the ground in January is located in this area. It is the most desirable place for construction, where EUR 800 million (USD 950 million) have been invested so far (28).
semi-urban

Serbia: Southern and Eastern Serbia

Wind energy in the Republic of Serbia can be used in Eastern Serbia (9). The maximum wind power at the height of 100m above the ground in January is on the territory of the southern part of the Danube from Belgrade to Negotin and the valley of Timok with the surrounding mountains (27).
semi-urban

Serbia: Šumadija and Western Serbia

Wind energy in the Republic of Serbia can be used in the eastern side of Kopaonik, the Zlatibor and Pešter, and the locality of mountain passes at altitudes above 800 m (9). The location of Kopaonik is somewhat less intense, but it belongs to the isoline of 200w/m2 (27).

References

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